Friday, 16 June 2017

We Know What Inspired The Manchester Attack, We Just Won't Admit It

Ian R Thorpe, June 16, 2017

In the wake of the massacre at the Manchester arena in May this year, politicians, public servants and the media rightly warned against blaming the entire Muslim community in Britain and the world. A few days after the atrocity I had to defriend someone on Facebook, a long term contact who writes books on nature, paganism and ritual magic, a sweet old lady of seventy something. What did she do to offend me so much?

As the great divide between the so called left and right of politics (though these terms are now used in ways that bear no relation to their original meaning) she had decided to take the side of the hand wringing, breast beating, politically correct, authoritarian left. always after a terrorist even she would call on people to show compassion, not for the victims or their families but for Muslims. "We must not hate Muslims, or react with anger." she would whine. To me it was just hypocritical virtue signalling because while the man in the pub might vent his spleen by by saying, "It's time we kicked them out of our country," he is usually smart enough to know that its is a small minority of religious extremists who are causing trouble.

My blogged response to the Manchester Arena bombing was that we should get angry, not at Muslims in general (that would be stupid,) nor at the extremists (that would be futile), but at the politicians, public servants and law enforcement officers who time and again have failed to act against suspected (and sometimes known,) terrorists and hate preachers and at the media luvvies who lecture us on tolerance from their ivory towers.

Certainly one of the aims of those who perpetrate atrocities such as Manchester, where 22 people were killed and over 100 injured, is to provoke conflict between Muslims and their host communities in Europe or America, and thus make Muslim immigrants feel alienated and marginalised in the hope that a portion of them will then become open to radicalisation and associate themselves with Isis and al-Qaeda affiliated activists.

The approach of not blaming Muslims in general but targeting “radicalisation” or simply “evil” is presented by the establishment as sensible and moderate, but that's bollocks. In practice, becoming apologists for extremism can only make the motives of the killers in Manchester or the Bataclan theatre in Paris in 2015, appear less clearly identified than it really is. Generalisations have the unfortunate effect of diluting the blame heaped on the extremist variant of Islam which is responsible for promulgating the beliefs which inspired people like suicide bomber Salman Abedi and the Bataclan attackers.

Wahhabism, the sect supported by the Saudi Arabian royal family, and its close cousin Salafism are the puritanical, fanatical and regressive type of Islam embraced by groups like ISIS and Al Qaeda, which are dominant in Saudi Arabia, whose ideology is close to that of al-Qaeda and ISIS. This is an exclusive exclusive and intolerant interpretation of The Koran, emphasising those verses which seem to call for the extermination of all who disagree with it such as Christians, Jews, secular liberals, Hindus, Buddhists, members of other Muslim communities such as the Shia or women who reject their chattel-like status.

What has been termed Salafi jihadism, the core beliefs of Isis and al-Qaeda, developed out of Wahhabism, and has carried out its prejudices to what it sees as a logical and violent conclusion. Shia and Yazidis (in Iraq, Syia and Kurdistan) were not just heretics in the eyes of this movement, which was a sort of Islamic Khmer Rouge, but sub-humans who should be massacred or enslaved.

Any woman who transgressed against repressive social mores should be savagely punished. Faith should be demonstrated by a public death of the believer, slaughtering the unbelievers, be they the 86 Shia children being evacuated by bus from their homes in Syria on 15 April or the butchery of young fans at a pop concert in Manchester on Monday night.

The real causes of “radicalisation” and its centres in the religious colleges of Saudi Arabia, have long been known, but the government, the media and others seldom if ever refer to it because they do not want to offend the Saudis or be accused of anti-Islamic bias. It is much easier to say, piously but quite inaccurately, that Isis and al-Qaeda and their murderous foot soldiers “have nothing to do with Islam”. This has been the track record of US and UK governments since 9/11. They will blame anything or anyone except Saudi Arabia when seeking the causes of terrorism just as the US government has consistently refused to acknowledge the role of Saudi Arabia in the planning of 9/11, the terror attack on the World Trade Centre in New York.

President Trump has been ridiculed in the US media for blaming Iran and, in effect, the Shia community for the wave of terrorism that has engulfed the region when it ultimately emanates from one small but immensely influential fundamentalist Sunni sects. Thanks to the growth over the last 50 years of Sunni extremist influence, one of the things that has put the world at even greater risk of global conflict than at the height of the cold war is the way in which Wahhabism, once an isolated splinter group, has become an increasingly dominant influence over mainstream Sunni Islam, thanks to Saudi financial support.

A further sign of the Salafi-jihadi impact is the choice of targets: the attacks on the Bataclan theatre in Paris in 2015, a gay night club in Florida in 2016 and the Manchester Arena outrage at the end of a concert by Areana Grande, a young American singer who favours rather scanty stage outfits, have one thing in common. They were all frequented by young people enjoying musical and dance (both considered an affront to Islam,) as entertainment and indulging in lifestyles the fanatics of the Saudi religious community, Isis or al-Qaeda target would find depraved and abhorrent.

Another factor to consider is these are all events where the mixing of men and women and the presence of gay people are absolutely normal. Such behaviour is denounced by puritan Wahhabis and Salafi jihadis alike as insulting to Allah. Followers of these cults both live in a cultural environment in which such people and activities are regarded as not only sinful but contagously so. Responses may differ but the hatred is the same.

The responsibility Western governments bear for facilitating terrorist attacks on their own citizens is obvious but seldom even referred to by mainstream media. Saudi Arabia is the world's largest oil producer at the moment and leaders are afraid to lose the 'liberal/progressive' vote among their own population by sanctioning oil extraction in areas where there are known reserves because of the misguided pseudo - science of the climate change lobby. Nations and corporate entities need to maintain the business alliance with Saudi Arabia and the Gulf oil states, and the price they must pay is tolerance of the religious extremists intolerant efforts to convert the world to their brand of Islam. Thus the Unitd nations, NATO or governments whose people have been affected by Islamic extremism have never held the real cilprits to account. Instead the governments of the developed world are guilty of supporting a repressive and sectarian, theocratic ideology which is known to have inspired Salman Abedi, whose father has been a leading light in the rise of extremism in Libya. We know little of Abedi's life because communities like the one he was part of are adept at segregating themselves, but the target of his attack and the method of his death a classic ISIS / Al Nusra / AlQaeda modus operandi.

The reason these two demonic organisations were able to survive and expand despite the billions – perhaps trillions – of dollars spent on the futile "war on terror" (a considerable slice of it on the US Air Force bid to flatten the Hindu Kush mountain range where Al Qaeda were not hiding out) is that those responsible for preventing another 9 /11 deliberately chose the wrong target and have gone on doing so. After 9/11, President George Dubya Bush, supported by UK Prime Minister Tony Blair portrayed Iraq and Afghanistan as the enemies rather than Saudi Arabia. In a case of deja vu all over again President Trump, who has sold out to the military / industrial complex even more quickly that the cocksucker barack Obama did, is ludicrously accusing Iran of being the source of most terrorism in the Middle East.

Those of us who have questioned the official 9/11 narrative are routinely branded 'conspiracy theorists', but there is nothing covert or conspiratorial about the deliberate blindness of British and American governments to the source of the beliefs that has inspired the massacres of which Manchester is only the latest repulsive example.

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A Song Of Servitude (poem) Armageddon
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Wednesday, 31 May 2017

Politicians Once Sold Promises Of A Better Life - Now They Sell Fear

"The Mayfair Set is a series of films produced by Adam Curtis that study how buccaneer capitalists of hot money were allowed to shape the climate of the Thatcher years, focusing on the rise of Colonel David Stirling, Jim Slater, James Goldsmith, and Tiny Rowland, all members of The Clermont club in the 1960s."

This four-parter is in my opinion Curtis most important work. It is less open to false interpretations unlike The Trap or The Power of Nightmares which are more open to it; let me expand on that - the Trap closely examines economic theory and psychiatry - relative to biology, chemistry and physics these are pseudosciences, sadly lacking in empirical rigor. Equally The Power of Nightmares deals with two ideologies; which if anyone remembers their Greenspan:
"...An Ideology is, is a conceptual framework with the way people deal with reality." Alan Greenspan KBE

Mayfair Set has an extraordinary array of witnesses, who offer their thoughts or motivations, some even offer their re-appraisals oodef events with the benefit of hindsight. The four programmes offer a very rare glimpse into the BBC archives, they are informative, entertaining and slightly sinister. More importantly they show a part of British History which was completely hidden from us growing up here in the UK. Check it out, you might love it as much as I do.

Also recommended:< br /> The Living Dead http://www.archive.org/details/AdamCurtis_TheLivi...

"The Living Dead, subtitled Three Films About the Power of the Past is the second major documentary series made by British film-maker Adam Curtis.

This series investigates the way that history and memory (both national and individual) have been used by politicians and others."

Episode 1. Who Pays Wins



Episode 2. The Mayfair Set episode 2 - Entrepreneur Spelt S.P.I.V.



Episode 3. Destroy The Technostructure



Episode 4. Twilight Of The Dogs


A devastating critique of the shift of power from democratic institutions to corporate business. It is a pity Curtis made no equivalently excoriating study of the equally anti - democratic radical (aka progressive left) who are as addicted to power are the financial elites and political right are to wealth.

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Monday, 29 May 2017

Obama's Climate Change Hypocrisy

Obama’s Climate Change Leaves A Lot To Be Desired

It is customary for US Presidents, when they leave office either having served two terms, been defeated in an election, or of their own volition, to fade quietly into the background. This is largely good manners, for an ex President to appear to be trying to intervene on political issues and influence events or public opinion is not only undignified, it is socially divisive. Good manners, especially towards 'white folks' was never a consideration for America's first cocksucker and arse prostitute president, Barack Hussein Obama of course, he spent most of his eight years in office trying to belittle America's middle classes, insult key allies on the global stage and turn every political issue into a bitching session about the colour of people's skin.

One of Obama's great obsessions, alongside gay rights and the need to drop bombs on third world peasants was climate change. And though the whole global warming scare has now been exposed as a scam to enable the global neoliberal kleptocracy to steal even more money from the poor, he is still going around the world spouting about the evils of that absolutely essential atmospheric gas, Carbon Dioxide, without which there would be no life on earth.

We's written plenty on this in the past, but this satirical article on how Obama travels by private jet (with an escrt of military jets) and cavalcade of limousines to give speeches exhorting the poor and middle income groups to reduce their carbon footprint is well worth a read.

"

Obama's Climate Change Leaves A Lot To Be Desired

by Rich Hofer, Writers Beat, 28 May 2017

Bobo Obama doesn’t know when to leave well enough alone. The former president should have done what his predecessors have done in the past, fade slowly into that good night and be quiet for a while. Instead, Bobo decided he was going to be boisterous. He was going to speak out against what he felt were injustices. He was going to call Donald Trump out when Trump did things like reverse Obama’s executive orders that made absolutely no sense to anyone with an ounce of grey matter.

And now, Obama is showing the world his true colors.

Bobo and his wife, Michelle Ma Belle, were in Milan, Italy to speak at the Institute for International Political Studies on the importance of global change warming climate or some such nonsense. And as always, taking a cue from Al Gore, Bobo concluded his speech by jumping into a CO2 laden motorcade of not one or two, but 13 cars to drive away. But wait…he wasn’t finished with the CO2 bombing of Italy! Oh, no! He had to top it off by spewing more carbon as he flew into Tuscany in not a commercial jetliner, but a private jet, and not alone.

Bobo and the Mrs. were escorted by six, count ‘em, six Italian Air Force jets on the short flight to Tuscany. Are we finished yet? Oh, no! Once on the ground, Bobo and company got back into limousines (13 of them) and proceeded to make their way to their “motel”, which by the way has 22 bedrooms for the ex-prez to choose from. The going rate? $15,000 per night.

He and Michelle Ma Belle will be there for a week. But staying in the tradition of not going retail, the Obama’s probably got a deal. The “motel” they are staying at is owned by the former Ambassador to Italy when he was in office, so he probably got a bit of a deal and foisted it off on some unsuspecting taxpayers somewhere. Hopefully it was the Italians, and not us!

This is just the latest example of the liberal left and their excuses. They want the world to change the way they live so we can “keep climate change in check”, while they spew carbon emissions all over the place. Now, if Bobo really was concerned about this…he would have taken a limo ride from the speech in Milan to Tuscany. It’s only 188 miles, and they could have covered it in three hours and seen some lovely country side. But they took a posse with them, enough for 13 limo’s in all, and a private jet with six Air Force escorts for the 188 mile ride. Yeah…they’re REAL concerned about the environment!

Carry on world…you’re dismissed!

And that just about sums up the case against fossil fuels, the elite are simply saying, "You plebs must give up your cars, your home heating, your well lit homes because, really, sustainables are no substitute for conventional fuels and we, the superior breed, are entitled to live in luxury at your expense and are no longer willing to share with pond life like you."

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Thursday, 18 May 2017

Global Warming, We Told You It Was Bollocks

Climate Change - The Worm Turns 

by Michael A Lewis, Writers Beat

“Treade a worme on the tayle, and it must turne agayne.” 1564 proverb, John Heywood

It seems that the climate change worm may be a-turning!
But then something new happened! Blogs, articles and papers are appearing touting solar influences on climate change, doubts cast upon the projections of global climate models. See here, here and here. Solar and orbital influences on observed climate variation seem to be gaining increased acceptance, in contradiction to the IPCC’s continuing insistence on human causation.

This is a good sign of a trend toward climate change sanity and rejection of the climate change obsession of past decades. The IPCC’s stranglehold on public opinion is beginning to loosen. Critical thinking is peeping above the miasma of political and economic thought control.

I have long cautioned against embracing the Global Warming consensus, from the standpoint of potential loss of respect for science when the anthropogenic global warming proposition is inevitably proven false. But now it seems that science and critical thinking may be making inroads into unsupported faith and unquestioned acceptance. The evidence for the limitations of the anthropogenic CO2 hypothesis, and the reality of the complex system of natural solar, orbital, cosmic, atmospheric and oceanic drivers of climate variation are growing daily.

The alarmists continue to tilt against the windmills of solar luminance variation and Milankovich Cycles, claiming, without evidence, that such influences are minor and ineffective when compared to their favored CO2 thermostat model. They huddle in a linear Cartesian world, fingers in their ears at any mention of nonlinear processes, complexity theory and chaotic adaptive systems.

It is not any single driver that results in observed climate variation. Climate is an emergent property of the chaotic, nonlinear, solar/atmospheric/oceanic adaptive systems, that is unpredictable in meaningful human chronologies. It is also unresponsive to manipulation of human CO2 output. It is the combination of all cycles of natural climate drivers that results in constantly varying, highly diverse climates that are beyond human control.

We’ll see how this trend plays out and how much the worm turns on the climate change consensus. It’s about time!


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Inves

Everything has been corrupted.
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Friday, 12 May 2017

Freedom? It's Bollocks. The People Versus The Deep State

Everyone is suddenly talking about the Deep State – the cartels of state security agencies, career bureaucrats, corporate businesses in the military / industrial complex, surveillance contractors, 'opinion makers' and 'philanthropists' whose omnipresence in democratic societies has been brought to light by President Trump’s claims that he was “wiretapped” by his predecessor, and before that by internet whistleblowers like Manning and Snowden and websites such as Wikileaks.

This blog (and our other publications have been talking about The Deep State, the Shadow Government, The Controllers, call them what you will, since before there was alt_journalism and new media. It's not a new think, in fact the establishment of a political establishment, a cliquish caste of lawyers, scholars, military leaders and money men, was probably one of the first things to happen when humans began to form civilised communities.

Because Trump's opponents got their knickers in a right old twist about this alleged 'wiretapping', let's put things in perspective. Wiretapping is an illegal eavesdropping technique that in its true form is obsolete in this era of digital surveillance and Trumps words could in no way be construed as a suggestion that Obama was personally involved in physically setting up any electronic eavesdropping equipment or software. And we now know that several US Government agencies were certainly surveilling Trump campaign headquarters during the 2016 election campaign.

It was because of his habit of making imprecise statements, as if he is thinking aloud rather than making a well thought out statement when addressing the media which enabled those who cannot accept his victory over Hillary Clinton or the fact that he is now US President to ascribe the surveillance to Barack Obama, and so naturally spokesmen for the former President had no trouble batting this charge away. But as a former Obama speechwriter put it:  “I’d be careful about reporting that Obama said there was no wiretapping. Statement just said that neither he nor the [White House] ordered it.”

And then there’s the word “wiretapping”: this brings to mind the old-fashioned physical “bug” that old fashioned spooks like James Bond used to plant on the phone lines of suspected subversives, installed with tools from a harware store in the dead of night. But that isn’t how it’s done anymore. As Edward Snowden revealed and as I know from my career in computers and digital networking, the National Security Agency (NSA) in the USA and the UK Government's GCHQ scoop up everyone’s data and metadate, and store it all in a vast, relational database for later retrieval. Loosely-observed “rules” are supposed to make it hard (but not impossible) for the spooks to spy on American citizens, but the reality is that there are plenty of times when such information is scooped up “incidentally,” and in those cases the identities of those spied on must be redacted.

Except not anymore.Cooperation from Microsoft, Apple, Cisco, Google, Facebook, internet service providers and cellular network operators have made possible the sucking up of very detailed information on peoples' movements and activities and building of a reasonable accurate profile of that person.
As the New York Times reported on January 12:
“In its final days, the Obama administration has expanded the power of the National Security Agency to share globally intercepted personal communications with the government’s 16 other intelligence agencies before applying privacy protections.
“The new rules significantly relax longstanding limits on what the N.S.A. may do with the information gathered by its most powerful surveillance operations, which are largely unregulated by American wiretapping laws. These include collecting satellite transmissions, phone calls and emails that cross network switches abroad, and messages between people abroad that cross domestic network switches.
“The change means that far more officials will be searching through raw data…”
At the same time some White House officials were scrambling to spread disinformation about Russian efforts to undermine the presidential election and about possible contacts between associates of President-elect Donald J. Trump and Russians – across the government.”
And it looks like Obama administration officials were quick to make use of this loosening of regulation after Trump’s victory. As the Times reported on March 1, after Trump won they were combing through the unredacted raw data looking for evidence of Russian collusion with the Trump campaign:
Their goal was to leave an audit trail of intelligence for government investigators. So sore were members of the Obama administration that Trump had beaten Hillary Clinton and their tickets on the gravy train had been cancelled, they apparently didn’t wait for the investigation to find the planted data, a stream of reportage about “intercepts” involving Trump associates, such as former National Security Council advisor Michael Flynn communicating with Russian officials, found its way onto the front pages of the nation’s newspapers. The source of this intelligence is the key to understanding what happened. The Times tells us:
“American allies, including the British and the Dutch, had provided information describing meetings in European cities between Russian officials – and others close to Russia’s president, Vladimir V. Putin – and associates of President-elect Trump, according to three former American officials who requested anonymity in discussing classified intelligence.
“Separately, American intelligence agencies had intercepted communications of Russian officials, some of them within the Kremlin, discussing contacts with Trump associates.”

Forget about looking court records of applications for warrants to spy on Trump & Co.: it wasn’t necessary. Such archaic relics of the free society was the attitude. as warrants had no place in the brave New World of Obamaland. "If we can do it, that makes it OK to do it," "Seventeen different government agencies shouldn’t be rooting through Americans’ emails with family members, friends and colleagues, all without ever obtaining a warrant," warned American Civil Liberties Union lawyer Patrick Toomey at the time the rules defining NSA powers and constraints were thrown out.
 
But nobody cared, we live in a scientific age and as far as science is concerned justice is a chimera and the end justifies the means. Ironically Trump and his supporters, generally approve of governments spying on citizens and anything else that wears a “national security” identification badge, they had not raised a stink about what Obama was up to and so deserved to be the first victims. Thus the anti-Trump coup plotters were given carte blance to do their dirty deeds. On January 12 a New York Times story reported:
“Under the new system, agencies will ask the N.S.A. for access to specific surveillance feeds, making the case that they contain information relevant and useful to their missions. The N.S.A. will grant requests it deems reasonable after considering factors like whether large amounts of Americans’ private information might be included and, if so, how damaging or embarrassing it would be if that information were ‘improperly used or disclosed.’”
All the leakers had to do was run the material gathered by the NSA through a keyword search and cherry-pick what looked incriminating. Maybe there was nothing to find or maybe, due to the typical incompetence of Team Obama members, there was could have been smoking gun or we would surely have known about it by now. But the lack of such was no obstacle to their goal, which was to give the #NeverTrump cause a banner around which to rally the Clintonistas post-election – “The Russians did it!” – and create a dark cloud of suspicion over Trump’s presidency as being somehow illegitimate.

The new rules on disseminating raw NSA intercepts went into effect on January 3, after then Attorney General Loretta Lynch signed on: the Director of National Intelligence James Clapper had previously signed on December 12. And if we look at the reportage coming out of the media, that’s when the stories detailing the alleged links between Trump appointees and Russian government officials started hitting fans and front pages.

It’s difficult to see how anyone could deny that the Surveillance State did a number on Trump and tried to derail his presidency (though Obama fans and Clinton supporters will.) Only days after the loosened NSA rules went into effect, the Washington Post ran a story headlined “US Intercepts Capture Senior Russian Officials Celebrating Trump Win”:

The Most Shocking Revelation From The CIA-Spying Scandal

Via Simon Black of SovereignMan.com
It happened again– another spying scandal in the Land of the Free.

Soon after that Wikileaks released 8,761 CIA documents detailing the agency’s hacking of smart phones, routers, computers, and even televisions. These leaked documents reveal that the CIA can and has hacked devices that were supposedly secure– iPhones, iPads, and Android devices. And that is where the cooperation of Microsoft, Google, Apple et al comes in. The documents further reveal that the CIA is deliberately infecting personal computers with spyware, including Windows, Mac OS/X, Solaris, Linux, and other operating systems.

Security agencies are also hacking WiFi routers to deploy software that monitors Internet activity, and have even figured out how to bypass anti-virus software so that their spyware cannot be detected.

The technical stuff is not that impressive, the government agencies, in spite of or perhaps because of their policy of hiring the most highly qualified 'computer science' graduates from top universities and having almost unlimited budgets are still way behind amateur nerds who have hardly any formal qualifications but spend their lives hunched over computers (rad The Girl With A Dragon Tattoo if you doubt me.) Where government agencies are strong is in propaganda; with the help of friendly mainstream media they persuaded the world to believe that Russian hackers, not the CIA, are behind all this malware and spyware.




MORE BOGGART BLOGGING Is Socialist Rhetoric Hate Speech
RELATED POSTS:
US-EU Privacy Shield Data-Sharing Agreement Blasted as Inadequate
The issue arises from the strict EU laws — enshrined in the Charter of Fundamental Rights of the European Union — to the privacy of citizens personal data. As we all know thanks to the material leaked by Ed Snowden and others the United States National Security Agency (NSA) does not regard anything as private, New German Government Smartphone Spyware Will Monitor Citizens’ Calls, Typing AND See Through Their Camera Lenses
The German Interior Ministry has revealed a new “Bundestrojaner” or government trojan horse software that will enable security agencies to track the smartphone activities of anyone who downloads it. We understand Chancellor Merkel's government has also adopted an “off the shelf” tool from a company which is said to help authoritarian regimes track their citizens ...

Latest NSA Spying Scandal: White House Spied On US Congress.
During the aftermath of Ed Snowden's NSA snooping revelations which revealed the US had been spying on its closest allies for years, Barack Hussein Obama announced he had banned eavesdropping by U.S. government agencies on leaders of US allies and promised he would begin to curtail the collection of Americans' phone data in a series of limited reforms. Unsurprisingly the president was lying,

Big Data and The Surveillance Society
We kill people based on metadata. – Gen. Michael Hayden, former head of the NSA and CIA. Bene vixit, bene qui latuit. (To live well is to live concealed) - – Ovid (43 BC - 18 AD)The most sacred thing is to be able to shut your own door. – G.K. Chesterton (1874 - 1936). I don't know why people are so keen to put the details of their private lives in public; they forget that invisibility is a superpower. – Banksy (2006)

New IBM software lets banks and retailers spy on Social Media Activities
Last Thursday (May 28) IBM launched 20 new applications with built in predictive analytics capabilities that will make it easier and faster for corporations to repond to what is revealed by your internet browsing habits.

John Kerry Calls For The Internet To Be Placed Under The Authority Of The United Nations
US Secretary of State John Kerry, speaking earlier this week in South Korea, said that the Internet “needs rules to be able to flourish and work properly.” This, according to Kerry, is necessary even for “a technology founded on freedom.” Kerry made his remarks in the context of talking about how international law is applicable to the Internet.

Whistleblower Exposes USA regine's torture of it's citizens

Just a couple of days ago we picked up a story from one of our favourite Whistleblower sites about a US Government Homeland Security site in Chicago where very strage things were going on. Our report compared it to The Ministry Of Love in Gorge Orwell's novel 1984.

We Predicted An Orwellian Nightmare. Now Obama's Ministry Of Love Is Identified
Back in 2008 we predicted pretty accurately how things would turn out under Presdident Barack Obama. We were not totally correct (well we are a British site) but where we erred it was on the side of caution. For example while it was easy enough to be aware that the egomaniacal

Thousands To Make Legal Stand Againt UK & US Government Surveillance.
Human rights organisation launches legal action to halt electronic mass surveillance. You can join them and be one of the names sueing GCHQ and the NSA. Learn how and read the full story of the Privacy International action below.

Secret ‘BADASS’ Intelligence Program Used To Spy On Smartphones.
Oh what a laugh, what a grin, those kool dudes who strut around with their iPhones clamped to their ear to show us that they paid $500 for a phone they could hsve bought for $150 had they been willing to do without the little Apple logo, and those who bought smart phones because, well everybody who is anybody has one, have been well and truly had.

Virtual ID has arrived – why you should resist taking it up
We told you some years ago when our publication appeared under a different name that the then Labour Government's plan for compulsory electronic ID cards was the step that would take us over the line from a seblance of liberal democracy into oligarchic fascism. Labour's plan was derailed by public opposition but now it has been rehashed and is presented with fluffy window dressing. A vote for Labour, Conservative Or Liberal Democrat is a vote for fascism. You have been warned.

Virtual ID has arrived – why you should resist taking it up
We told you some years ago when our publication appeared under a different name that the then Labour Government's plan for compulsory electronic ID cards was the step that would take us over the line from a seblance of liberal democracy into oligarchic fascism. Labour's plan was derailed by public opposition but now it has been rehashed and is presented with fluffy window dressing. A vote for Labour, Conservative Or Liberal Democrat is a vote for fascism. You have been warned.

Big Brother Is Right Behind You And He Knows What you Are Up To
No doubt the smug complacent bourgeois fools will shouth conspiracy theirist and the emotionally needy leftist Sheeple will

bleat "racist bigot" (they always bleat "racist bigot" but it is not alarmist to say the UK is slowly becoming a totalitarian state. What else can we calli our nation if anti - terror laws are being used prosecute people for low-level offences such as Television licence dodging.

Henry Kissinger On The New World Order
OK, let the Politically Correct screechers screech 'conspiracy Theory'. Kissinger has of course been a long time advocate of corporatist global totalitarian government by elitis oligarchs and has himself used the phrase New World Order to describe what he sees as the best hope for the future and what those of us outside his small elitist clique see as fascism

The New World Order And Not A Reptillian Alien In Sight
The phrase New World Order is guaranteed to attract shouts of 'conspiracy theorist' from the useful idiots who think the political elite would be their friends (if only the right political party were in power). But with all parties offering an identical package of policies, isn't it time to explore what this New World Order the elite have been talking about for over a hundred years will mean to us if we let it come into being.

Global Corporatocracy Set To Take Over The World Aldous Huxley's Brave New World, Orwell's '1984' Philip K Dick's Minority Report, which of these do the New World Order plan to use as the model for their corporate - scientific dictatorship? The answer is all of them. Concepts like individual freedom and democracy are anathema to our new unhappy lords and once the infrastructure is in place these inconveniences will be swept aside along with nations, traditional cultures and everything else that binds us to our fellow humans.

Privacy Wrecking Technologies That Are Systematically Transforming America Into A Giant Prison
Some people insisted it was all a conspiracy theory. Even now they know the extent government and corporations are snooping on us via internet and electronic technology they try to insist it is for our wellbeing and there is no sinister hidden agenda. If you find their assurances comforting you really nead to read this article

What's The Use Of Windows That Cannot Be Closed

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Monday, 20 March 2017

ET Phone Home - The Science Of Wasting Taxpayers' Money

We are alone in the universe: Professor Brian Cox (the BBC's scientific Jack - in - a Box) says alien life is all but impossible and humanity is 'unique' The biological process which lead to intelligent life on earth was a fluke that is unlikely to have been repeated anywhere else in the universe, claims Cox. Well that will upset a few of those clowns at NASA who've been poncing off US taxpayers for years by duping politicians with fantasies about finding life on distant planets.

The presenter and scientist blames a series of 'evolutionary bottlenecks' for the lack of extraterrestrial life on other planets, despite there being a mind bogglingly vast number of them in the galaxy. Humanity miraculously overcame them in a chance binding of two single cells merging somewhere in the mists of time, he said.

'There is only one advanced technological civilisation in this galaxy and there has only ever been one - and that's us. We are unique. It's a dizzying thought. There are billions of planets out there, surely there must have been a second genesis? But we must be careful because the story of life on this planet shows that the transition from single-celled life to complex life may not have been inevitable.'

He made the claims in an episode of BBC's Human Universe, adding that yet another freak occurrence - the meteor which wiped out the dinosaurs - allowed mammals and ultimately humanity to dominate the planet. On the subject of the genesis of complex life, he added: 'We still struggle to understand how this happened. It's incredibly unusual.

Princeton University astrophysicists Dr Timothy Brandt and Dr David Spiegel in a paper called 'Prospects for detecting oxygen, water and chlorophyll on an exo-Earth.' say that it might be possible to detect signatures of water, oxygen and chlorophyll on an alien planet.

According to Brandt, Spiegel and many NASA scientists who support their work, altogether a bunch of con artists who have been poncing off taxpayers by presenting unverifiable theories as facts for far too long, one hundred million worlds in our galaxy alone are able to host alien life, according to a 'conservative' estimate. Quite where they get that figure from is unclear, which suggests they thought of a number, doubled it, multiplied by ten, added thirty seven, squared the result and subtracted the number they first thought of - or something.

The space agency also claims that we will be able to find that extra - terrestrial life within the next 20 years, with a high chance it will be outside our solar system. Let's just put that into perspective: the nearest 'might be' planet (we have no evidence a planet exists, the guesses and assumptions are based on electromagnetic waves emanating from that vicinity) is forty light years away, which I think most people will understand to mean it takes light, travelling at 300,000 Km (186,000 miles per SECOND)forty years to reach earth.

If we had a space ship that could travel at just one tenth of the speed of light or eighteen thousand six hundred miles per second, it would take four hundred years to reach this might be planet on which life, or conditions capable of supporting life MIGHT (just might, you must understand) exist. At the time of writing our fastest spaceship is capable of achieving slightly less that ten miles per second going downhill with a following solar wind. When I say going downhill, what I mean because obviously there are no hills in space, is travelling towards the sun and therefore getting a little help from its gravitational pull.

In spite of this being common knowledge, the research grant phishing wannabe space explorer community are still touting exploration of distant planets as a real possibility within the foreseeable future. During a public talk in July in Washington, the space agency outlined a roadmap to search for life in the universe using a number of current and future radio telescopes (so not life then but electromagnetic radiation that could in fact signal almost anything because everything in the universe gives of electromagnetic radiation.

'Do we believe there is life beyond Earth?' said former astronaut and NASA Administrator Charles Bolden during a talk in Washington. 'I would venture to say that most of my colleagues here today say it is improbable that in the limitless vastness of the universe we humans stand alone.'

These star gazing scientists are looking for planets which have the same chemical signature as us, but who says life has to be carbon based? Brandt and Spiegel's research makes some bold statements but relies heavily on flawed evidence and a somewhat cavalier approach to scientific rigour in reaching its conclusions. It's a surprise that Brian Cox is so sceptical about their claims, he's usually very excieable when topics like visiting distant galaxies or colonising Mars come up so for him to make such a statement means we might as well give up all space program's because what's the point, when there is no realistic evidence to suggest anything other than that we live in a dust bowl universe with no other intelligent life

There may be life out there,but intelligent life?, The Serarch for Extras Terrestrial Intelligence (SETI) lab based in California (where else) has been searching for over sixty years has found no evidence of intelligent life. As demonstrated with very simple arithmetic above, humankind will not be leaving planet earth's solar system anytime soon, no matter what Brian Cox may say about new space ship propulsion systems that will compress space ahead of and stretch it behind the vehichle thus making travel at the speed of light possible (well it works in Star Trek) travelling at even one hundredth of the speed of light is way beyond our reach, so I suggest we stop funding fantasy science and concentrate on putting right this world, the only one currently available to us, which is a big ask.

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Space Mining A Reality By 2016? Latest UFO sighting? The Return Of Turd Nine From Outer Space Life On Mars ( space technology ) If You Weren’t Yet Convinced The Lunatics Are Running The Adylum, Here’s Proof. Chinese Lunar Rover Finds No Evidence of American Moon Landings NASA Engineer Admits They Can’t Get Past Van Allen Belts The Boggart Blog Secret UFO Files Beyond Big Bang: The Idea Of An Infinite Universe Is Fashionable Again Quantum Metaphysics or The God Experiments Time Travellers Let Us Seek New Journeys Scitech Menu Elsewhere: [ The Original Boggart Blog] ... [ Daily Stirrer.shtml ]...[Little Nicky Machiavelli]... [ Ian's Authorsden Pages ]... [ It's Bollocks My Dears, All Bollocks ] [Scribd]...[Wikinut] ... [ Boggart Abroad] ... [ Grenteeth Bites ] ... [ Latest Posts ] [Ian Thorpe at Flickr ] ... [Latest Posts] ... [ Tumblr ] ... [ Authorsden blog ] ... [Daily Stirrer Headlines]
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Tuesday, 14 February 2017

PARIS ERUPTS: Many streets are NO-GO ZONES As Immigrant Violence Spreads

Five large areas have been reduced to no go areas for the past five nights as masked men cause mayhem on the streets. Now there are fears the fall out from allegations of police brutality could spread all over the country as unrest in the city grows.

 Residents have been on lockdown as armed police tried to tackle the rioters who have caused millions of pounds of damage. Police were hit with molotov cocktails and the heavy metal balls used in the French game Petanque. And after setting cars and even a disability vehicle on fire the police have been forced to fire live rounds of bullets.


Protesters against police violence have set a car on fire during a rally in the Paris suburb of Bobigny, which followed a police officer’s assault on a 22-year-old man. 
 
 
 
An RTL van set on fire by the protesters could be seen burning in the live footage.

Dozens of young people have occupied an empty lot in Bobigny in the prefecture of Seine-Saint-Denis department. Some of the protesters have been carrying banners saying “Justice for Theo,” the name of the young man who was sexually assaulted by a police officer with a truncheon.

Hundreds of people gathered in Bobigny not far from the courthouse earlier today to protest police violence, Le Parisien reported. The demonstration began peacefully, but turned violent at around 3pm local time.



 A reporter for the French TV company BMTV was also injured after being attacked. The areas of Aulnay-Sous-Bois, Aulnay, Argenteuil, Bobigny and Tremblay-en-France in the Saint-Seine-Denis district have all been affected. It follows allegations of horrific police brutality in a housing estate called Rose des Vents in Aulnay-Sous-Bois which is also known locally as the 'city of 3000'.

 Local residents and police forces have called the continued unrest "disgraceful" while the man allegedly assaulted by police named only as Theo has pleaded for calm. Yves Lefebvre head of the police union said: "Setting a wheelchair van on fire is a disgrace. This has to stop."

The French Government's response to the latest outbreaks of violence is to put 2,600 cameras on police officers to record them out on the job. Front National (FN) MP Marion Le Pen tweeted the amateur video which shows chaotic scenes including of clouds of smoke after cars were set on fire and a man yelling “Allahu Akbar”, Arabic for God is Greatest, three times.

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Thursday, 9 February 2017

The Demise Of Nate Silver's Infallibility And Data-Driven Journalism

https://amgreatness.com/2017/02/07/nate-silver-fetish-data-driven-journalism/

With the UK election on top of us, once again things are totally confused, both main political parties are in disarray, the minor parties have once again blown their chances of any significant breakthrough by virtue of sheer ineptitude and the big data boys with their graphs, charts and tables, are running around like headless chickens because opinion polls are pointing in very different directions.

In 2012 some little statistics nerd named Nate Silver was elevated to the pantheon of Technology Gods, when he correctly predicted, having modelled the outcome of the vote on his meta - analysis of opinion polls, that Barack Obama would win a second term as US President. That was the election in which Obama's opponent Mitt Romney famously threw the fat lady off the stage long before she had even done her warm up scales, when he conceded a key state with less than twenty five percent of the votes counted.

It was the comedian Grouch Marx who said "The show ain't over til the fat lady sings" in a 1930s comedy. More recently somebody else said, "It ain’t over till it’s over." With the advent of Big Data and reliance upon data-driven modeling of climates, national economies, political elections, economic performance and sports events we might just as well rephrase it as, “It’s over before it begins.” Which is exactly what one TV pundit did after that Romney concession. When his colleague commented that it seemed a little early to concede, the man, whose name I don't know and have no interest in rediscovering, said something like, "Come on, you know how the science works." But did we?

Obviously not, given what happened in Britain's in / out referendum on continued EU membership and the US election of Donald Trump to the presidency in 2016. On the day before the election the divine wisdom of Nate Silver's digital models gave both the Keep Britain In the EU campaign and Hillary Clinton better than 80% chances of winning.

Another spectacular Nate Silver cock up in 2016 related to American Football's top prize Super Bowl, Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight.com website predicted the New England Patriots to win. Going into the half-time with Atlanta Falcons leading 28-3, the site gave the Patriots a less than 1 percent chance of winning. FiveThirtyEight tweeted: “That Patriots drive took another 5:07 off the clock and actually dropped their win probability from 1.1% to 0.5%.”

Of course we all know what happened next. In yet another brilliant statistical upset that exposed Nate Silver's infallible mathematical modelling as no better than guesswork, in the second half the Patriots turned mathematical modelling on its head. They scored 25 unanswered points to win, giving America an timely lesson in how self - belief, determination, and the ability of human beings to make mockery of statistics.

It was a lesson for those who tell us we must believe in science and mathematics that sometimes the whole is greater than the sum of the parts, a reminder of the value of commitment, fortitude and preparedness to risk everything; values that were once an integral part of the American mythos, and drove the European pioneers who founded the American nation, but that increasingly become unfashionable and been sidelined in exchange for the perceived infallibility of data-driven analysis and computer modelling.

Since information (data) replaced wisdom and judgement and became, for the media at least, the highest level of human intellect, as demonstrated by Nate Silver’s elevation to divine status and FiveThirtyEight’s place in pop culture, a cultural shift has taken place with regard to the use of statistics. No longer were the words of nineteenth century statesman George Canning, "I can make statistics tell me anything except the truth," quoted at those who relied on Big Data, polling, and more mathematical models. On TV shows and social media feeds the pronouncements of nerds with tablet computers were treated as if they were inscribed on tablets of stone. Data-driven analysis, whether accurate or not,(and it was not accurate as often as it was) provided a quick and unchallengable way to excoriate opponents in debate who relied on old fashioned things like empirical evidence. “Silver gives Hilary a x++ percent chance to win the election” became the Trump card in any debate on the US election. Nate Silver gives the Remain campaign x+ chance of winning the Brexit referendum was offered to counter any mention of the anti - E.U. mood in the old English industrial areas of the north and midlands, in South Wales and central Scotland.

And in both cases the fat lady was singing at the top of her range, but only those with the ability to see how the mathematical models were bring manipulated to produce politically expedient answers could see the abyss opening up under the predictions of the big data boys.

We had reached a point where pundits were willing to assign data modelling more value than observable reality. The irrationality and risk-taking inherent in human decision-making were brushed aside, this was the age of nerds. In politics, sport and weather forecasting, statistical models were held up as unassailable predictors.

And in all cases, in 2016, they were wrong. Trump and Brexit, New England Patriots in the US Super Bowl and Leicester City in the English Premier League soccer, and as for climate change predictions, well snow should have been unknown to European and American children by now, the northern ice cap should have disappeared and we were promised 50 million refugees, displaced by rapidly rising sea levels would be wandering the world looking for a new home (that last one was particularly stupid because if all the predictions had come true those people could have settled in the sub - tropical paradises of Siberia, Alaska and northern Canada.)

For his part, no matter how certain Silver's fans might have been of the infallibility of his model, the man himself, more often than not, would hedge when asked a direct question. Like those climate scientists whose opinions trigger predictions of sure and certain destruction of life on earth by half past two tomorrow if we do not abandon coal and oil NOW!, Nate's own predictions are fenced in qualifiers, possible, probably, is likely to etc. In October 2016, under a headline that read “Clinton Probably Finished Off Trump Last Night,” Silver commented: “I’m not sure I need to tell you this, but Hillary Clinton is probably going to be the next president. It’s just a question of what ‘probably’ means.” He then spent the bulk of the article presenting the statistical case to back up his claim that Clinton would win, but in the end equivocated again, acknowledging that he could be mistaken, that other signs pointed to the possibility of another outcome.

Earlier in the election cycle, when results of the Republican primary, the Michigan Democratic primary, and the general election proved him very wrong, Silver’s excuses involved not moving the goalposts so much as moving the entire effing stadium. He claimed that certain unprecedented events had influenced voters (Wikileaks publishing documents from the DNC 'hack'? The Democrat candidate being a known liar and abuser of office for personal gain?) which skewed the initial models. Even after the Super Bowl, in an attempt to make light of the situation, he tweeted: “At least the Falcons won the popular vote.” To which a user responded, “Nate, you don’t get to make election jokes.”

Silver also acknowledged that in any prediction based on mathematical modelling of data, subjective best guesses and assumptions must necessarily be factored into the algorithm. When unprecedented things happen those guesses and assumptions cannot easily be factored out. By saying this Silver admits that statistical analysis of data might work for p lotting trends but cannot predict outcomes when people are involved and instinct, emotion and individual circumstances come into play. This was best summed up in an article by David Morris, on Silver’s failure to predict Trump’s victory in the Republican primary: “Unlikely events like the Trump nomination are, by their very nature, impossible to predict.”

The models are not ancient oracles, they do not predict the future. At best they are informed guesses on the outcome of events conformed to the established patters of similar events in the past. The trouble with trusting the Oracle, however, is that when events occur, though there may be a superficial similarity, there at many different factors at play.

Nate Silver’s infallibility is therefore not the issue. Everyone get things wrong. Silver made his money and his name as a poker player, not one of those pallid, intense characters who spent their lives in smoky, poorly lit back rooms, that we see in movies, but a player against computers in online games. This is interesting because against a computer it's possible to play the percentages and win. In those smoke filled, dimply lit back rooms, emotions, stresses. personal qualities and other things that cannot be factored into a computer program are at work. And then there are the bluffs and the psychology.

Yet despite his being fabulously wrong many times, and despite his admissions of fallibility, people still cling to his as the ultimate argument from authority. "Nate Silver says," you will hear as confusion reigns ahead of the UK election, with polls showing leads for the conservatives ranging between one and twelve percent (i.e. a hung parliament to a super - majority). This signals a problem with the scientific, control freak culture leaders such as Barack Obama, Tony Blair, David Cameron and Angela Merkel have been eager to impose. Science demands simple answers and seeks to provide such answers to complex and often unquantifiable questions. When those questions relate to a globalist, scientific views of how the world should be, we should be doubly diligent in questioning 'the science'.

It’s not Silver. He’s just a poster - boy for the Church of Sciencology Cult. The irony is that mathematics is not really a science, just as Julius Caesar was proclaimed a god by the mob, so mathematics has been proclaimed a science by an academic mob. In fact it is, in the truest sense of the word, an art; an artifice, something created by humans. Nature does no mathematics, a couple of years ago in a BBC Science documentary on British TV two mathematicians were burbling ecstatically about how the invention of 'zero' (by some ancient Assyrian, Babylonian, Egyptian or Hindu philosopher or had changed our understanding of the universe. Well it may have changed the way we do calculations but it does not change the fact that there is no zero in nature. There may be an absence of something (breathable air for example) but there can never be zero nitrogen, oxygen, carbon dioxide atoms to nature, that would only be significant to a human trying to measure what was (or wasn't) present.

Jason Rhode, in Paste Magazine, wrote a withering critique of Silver, opening with a quotation from Federalist 55: “Nothing can be more fallacious than to found our political calculations on arithmetical principles.” And yet today many seem to believe that Silver is The God Mathematics made flesh, an avatar of a desire for certainty in the unpredictable and unscientific world of human interactions. As novelist Terry Pratchett wrote in "The Thief Of Time," in any battle between order and chaos, chaos will win because it is better organised.

Invoking FiveThirtyEight seemed, before Brexit and Trump, to bestow upon those who quoted the Silverian doctrines an air of both intellectual superiority and mathematical indifference. “Nate Silver predicts…” is akin to saying “Shut up idiot, what do you know? If you don't know 'the science works' you are not entitled to an opinion. The numbers can’t lie, because science!” But that appeal to Silver is really an appeal to the desire of insecure people for a totally stable and predictable future. So how will it play out in Britain? Here are the headline figures for the most recent polls:

Key: Con - Conservative; Lab = Labour; LDem = Liberal Democrat; UKIP = United Kingdom Independence Party

June 5: ICM / Guardian. CON 45%(nc), LAB 34%(nc), LDEM 8%(-1), UKIP 5%(nc). Fieldwork was Friday to Sunday, so will have been largely before the terrorist attack in London Bridge. June 4: Opinium / Observer. CON 43%(-2), LAB 37%(+2), LDEM 6%(-1), UKIP 5%(nc). Fieldwork was on Tuesday and Wednesday and changes are from a week ago. Com Res / Sunday Mirror. CON 47%(+1), LAB 35(+1), LDEM 8%(nc), UKIP 4%(nc). Fieldwork was Wednesday to Friday and changes are from a week ago. ICM / Sun. CON 45%(nc), LAB 34%(+1), LDEM 9%(+1), UKIP 5%(nc). Changes are from the ICM poll for the Guardian at the start of the week. You Gov / Sunday Times. CON 42%, LAB 38%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 4%. Fieldwork was Thursday to Friday Orb / Sunday Telegraph. CON 45%(+1), LAB 36%(-2), LDEM 8%(+1), UKIP 4%(-1). Fieldwork was Wed-Thurs with changes from a week ago. Survation / Mail on Sunday. CON 40%(-6), LAB 39%(+5), LDEM 8%(nc), UKIP 5%(+2). Fieldwork was conducted wholly this morning (after London Bridge incident). June 2: IPSOS Mori / Evening standard. CON 45%(-4), LAB 40%(+6), LDEM 7%(nc). Changes are from their previous poll in mid-May Source: UK Polling report

Discounting the one percent Conservative lead in the Survation / Mail on Sunday poll as it was an instant raction type of thing, and also because no sample details were made available, we see widely differing results but all pointing to a win for the conservatives. In the past however, while a meta - analysis or poll of polls has been reasonably accurate in predicting overall percentages of the vote for different parties, those percentages cannot project the number of seats won in Parliament, because of the way our system works. Similarly, in the USA in 2016, while Hillary Clinton won the popular vote by virtue of huge majorities in states where her opponent had not campaigned because he knew he could not win, trump campaigned hardest in states hardest hit by globalism, and won the electoral college.

If it had been a poker game, Hillary would have been playing against computers, Trump would have been shuffling cards in a dimply lit, smoke filled back room.

Ultimately, an unwavering faith in Big Data has become a sort of religious fundamentalism, an attempt, using only belief and awe of the superior being, to impose order on chaos, an almost fundamentalist approach that borders on statistical fanaticism. Unfortunately, just as mathematics is not a science, neither is statistics, which is more akin to the dark arts that the documented and demonstrable proofs of the natural sciences. It’s an attempt to overlook how little we know and how much we imagine we can control.

With a large segment of the population and an even larger segment of academics, media pundits and politicians eager to reduce human interaction to data points, which enables them to imagine they could control human nature, we run the risk of becoming an increasingly technocratic society where people value safety over stimulation, ease over innovation and convenience over adventure. Ironically, if some Christian preacher talks about The Creation, Nate Silvers fans will scream in unison about the undeniable fact of evolution, thereby only affirming that they don't have a clue how survival of the fittest works. (Hint, it doesn't mean those who work out at the most expensive gym and health club will lead the way to the future.)

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